Research

Working Papers

Further Education During Unemployment, with Pauline Leung, arXiv:2312.17123, December 2025. Previous versions: arXiv:2312.17123v2 (2023); Princeton University Industrial Relations Section Working Paper #642 (2020).

Work in Progress

The Effects of Employment Incentives and Cash Transfers on Parent and Child Outcomes: Evidence from the Long Run Effects of Welfare Reform Experiments, with Amanda Eng, Hilary Hoynes, Pauline Leung, Jordan Matsudaira, Cynthia Miller, and Mark van Dok.

Publications (Including Accepted)

Supercompliers, with Matthew Comey, Amanda Eng, and Pauline Leung, Journal of Public Economics, 259, 105660, July 2026. Working papers: IZA Discussion Paper #18598 (2026); arXiv:2212.14105v3 (2024); arXiv:2212.14105v2 (2023); arXiv:2212.14105v1 (2022).

Disability Insurance Income Saves Lives, with Alexander Gelber, Timothy Moore, and Alexander Strand, Journal of Political Economy, 131(11), 3156-3185, November 2023.

Visual Inference and Graphical Representation in Regression Discontinuity Designs, with Christina Korting, Carl Lieberman, Jordan Matsudaira, and Yi Shen, Quarterly Journal of Economics, 138(3), 1977-2019, August 2023. Working papers: arXiv:2112.03096v2 (2023); IZA Discussion Paper #14923 (2021); Princeton University Industrial Relations Section Working Paper #638 (2020).

Local Polynomial Order in Regression Discontinuity Designs, (open access here), with David S. Lee, David Card, and Andrea Weber, Journal of Business and Economic Statistics, 40(3), 1259-1267, June 2022. Working papers: NBER Working Paper #27424 (2020); Princeton University Industrial Relations Section Working Paper #622 (2018); Brandeis Economics Department Working Paper #81 (2014).

Are Sufficient Statistics Necessary? Nonparametric Measurement of Deadweight Loss in Unemployment Insurance, with David S. Lee, Pauline Leung, Christopher J. O’Leary, and Simon Quach, Journal of Labor Economics, 39(S2), S455-S506, April 2021. Working paper: NBER Working Paper #25574

Poorly Measured Confounders are More Useful on the Left Than on the Right, (open access here), with Jörn-Steffen Pischke, and Hannes Schwandt, Journal of Business and Economic Statistics, 37(2), 205-216, April 2019. Working paper: NBER Working Paper #23232.

The Devil is in the Tails: Regression Discontinuity Design with Measurement Error in the Assignment Variable, with Yi Shen, Advances in Econometrics, volume 38 (Regression Discontinuity Designs: Theory and Applications) edited by Matias D. Cattaneo and Juan Carlos Escanciano: 455-502, May 2017. Working paper: Princeton University Industrial Relations Section Working Paper #606.

Regression Kink Design: Theory and Practice, with David Card, David S. Lee, and Andrea Weber, Advances in Econometrics, volume 38 (Regression Discontinuity Designs: Theory and Applications) edited by Matias D. Cattaneo and Juan Carlos Escanciano: 341-382, May 2017. Working paper: NBER Working Paper #22781.

Eligibility Recertification and Dynamic Opting-in Incentives in Income-tested Social Programs: Evidence from Medicaid/CHIP, American Economic Journal: Economic Policy, 9(1): 241-276, February 2017. Working paper: Upjohn Institute Working Paper 15-234, Main and Appendix.

Inference on Causal Effects in a Generalized Regression Kink Design, with David Card, David S. Lee, and Andrea Weber, Econometrica, 83(6): 2453-2483, November 2015. Working papers: IZA Discussion Paper #8757 (2015); Nonlinear Policy Rules and the Identification and Estimation of Causal Effects in a Generalized Regression Kink Design, NBER Working Paper #18564 (2012); Quasi-Experimental Identification and Estimation in the Regression Kink Design, Princeton University Industrial Relations Section Working Paper #553 (2009).

The Effect of Unemployment Benefits on the Duration of Unemployment Insurance Receipt: New Evidence from a Regression Kink Design in Missouri, 2013-2013, with David Card, Andrew Johnston, Pauline Leung, and Alexandre Mas, American Economic Review: Papers & Proceedings, 105(5): 126-130, May 2015. Working paper: NBER Working Paper #20869.

Arecibo Multi-Epoch HI Absorption Measurements Against Pulsars: Tiny-Scale Atomic Structure, with S. Stanimirović, J. M. Weisberg, K. Tuttle, and J. T. Green, Astrophysical Journal, 720:415-434, September 2010.

Health Care: Time for a Check Up, (Not Peer-reviewed) with Gabriel Wildau and Arthur Kroeber, China Economic Quarterly, Q3, September 2007.