Research
Working Papers
Further Education During Unemployment, with Pauline Leung, arXiv:2312.17123, December 2025, conditionally accepted, Journal of Political Economy. Previous versions: arXiv:2312.17123v2 (2023); Princeton University Industrial Relations Section Working Paper #642 (2020).
Publications
Supercompliers, with Matthew Comey, Amanda Eng, and Pauline Leung, Journal of Public Economics, 259, 105660, July 2026. Working papers: IZA Discussion Paper #18598 (2026); arXiv:2212.14105v3 (2024); arXiv:2212.14105v2 (2023); arXiv:2212.14105v1 (2022).
Disability Insurance Income Saves Lives, with Alexander Gelber, Timothy Moore, and Alexander Strand, Journal of Political Economy, 131(11), 3156-3185, November 2023.
Visual Inference and Graphical Representation in Regression Discontinuity Designs, with Christina Korting, Carl Lieberman, Jordan Matsudaira, and Yi Shen, Quarterly Journal of Economics, 138(3), 1977-2019, August 2023. Working papers: arXiv:2112.03096v2 (2023); IZA Discussion Paper #14923 (2021); Princeton University Industrial Relations Section Working Paper #638 (2020).
Local Polynomial Order in Regression Discontinuity Designs, (open access here), with David S. Lee, David Card, and Andrea Weber, Journal of Business and Economic Statistics, 40(3), 1259-1267, June 2022. Working papers: NBER Working Paper #27424 (2020); Princeton University Industrial Relations Section Working Paper #622 (2018); Brandeis Economics Department Working Paper #81 (2014).
Are Sufficient Statistics Necessary? Nonparametric Measurement of Deadweight Loss in Unemployment Insurance, with David S. Lee, Pauline Leung, Christopher J. O’Leary, and Simon Quach, Journal of Labor Economics, 39(S2), S455-S506, April 2021. Working paper: NBER Working Paper #25574
Poorly Measured Confounders are More Useful on the Left Than on the Right, (open access here), with Jörn-Steffen Pischke, and Hannes Schwandt, Journal of Business and Economic Statistics, 37(2), 205-216, April 2019. Working paper: NBER Working Paper #23232.
The Devil is in the Tails: Regression Discontinuity Design with Measurement Error in the Assignment Variable, with Yi Shen, Advances in Econometrics, volume 38 (Regression Discontinuity Designs: Theory and Applications) edited by Matias D. Cattaneo and Juan Carlos Escanciano: 455-502, May 2017. Working paper: Princeton University Industrial Relations Section Working Paper #606.
Regression Kink Design: Theory and Practice, with David Card, David S. Lee, and Andrea Weber, Advances in Econometrics, volume 38 (Regression Discontinuity Designs: Theory and Applications) edited by Matias D. Cattaneo and Juan Carlos Escanciano: 341-382, May 2017. Working paper: NBER Working Paper #22781.
Eligibility Recertification and Dynamic Opting-in Incentives in Income-tested Social Programs: Evidence from Medicaid/CHIP, American Economic Journal: Economic Policy, 9(1): 241-276, February 2017. Working paper: Upjohn Institute Working Paper 15-234, Main and Appendix.
Inference on Causal Effects in a Generalized Regression Kink Design, with David Card, David S. Lee, and Andrea Weber, Econometrica, 83(6): 2453-2483, November 2015. Working papers: IZA Discussion Paper #8757 (2015); Nonlinear Policy Rules and the Identification and Estimation of Causal Effects in a Generalized Regression Kink Design, NBER Working Paper #18564 (2012); Quasi-Experimental Identification and Estimation in the Regression Kink Design, Princeton University Industrial Relations Section Working Paper #553 (2009).
The Effect of Unemployment Benefits on the Duration of Unemployment Insurance Receipt: New Evidence from a Regression Kink Design in Missouri, 2013-2013, with David Card, Andrew Johnston, Pauline Leung, and Alexandre Mas, American Economic Review: Papers & Proceedings, 105(5): 126-130, May 2015. Working paper: NBER Working Paper #20869.
Arecibo Multi-Epoch HI Absorption Measurements Against Pulsars: Tiny-Scale Atomic Structure, with S. Stanimirović, J. M. Weisberg, K. Tuttle, and J. T. Green, Astrophysical Journal, 720:415-434, September 2010.
Health Care: Time for a Check Up, (Not Peer-reviewed) with Gabriel Wildau and Arthur Kroeber, China Economic Quarterly, Q3, September 2007.
Work in Progress
The Effects of Employment Incentives and Cash Transfers on Parent and Child Outcomes: Evidence from the Long Run Effects of Welfare Reform Experiments, with Amanda Eng, Hilary Hoynes, Pauline Leung, Jordan Matsudaira, Cynthia Miller, Kevin Rinz, and Mark van Dok.